Our lead seasonal forecaster will chat live about this year's hurricane season predictions and more
Recognizing the first day of Atlantic hurricane season (June 1), NOAA is proud to host “The Science Behind NOAA’s Hurricane Season Outlooks,” a live Reddit Science AMA with Dr. Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster and research meteorologist with the Climate Prediction Center, part of NOAA’s National Weather Service.
Dr. Bell will answer your questions live, from 1-3 p.m. ET June 1, about his team’s predictions for this year’s Atlantic hurricane season and the science that goes into making those predictions. Join us for this "Ask Me Anything" webchat on reddit.com.
On May 27, NOAA issued the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season outlook. It calls for a near-normal season with a 70-percent likelihood of 10-16 named storms and 4-8 hurricanes, of which 1-4 could be major hurricanes.
Hurricane season is right around the corner: Now is a great time to prepare. Remember: It only takes one storm to devastate a community. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 all the way to November 30.
Online chat details
Who: Gerry Bell, Ph.D., NOAA’s lead hurricane season forecaster
What: Reddit Science "Ask Me Anything" (AMA) “The science behind NOAA’s hurricane season outlooks”
When: Wednesday, June 1, 2016 from 1:00-3:00 p.m. EDT
About Gerry Bell
Dr. Gerry Bell is a leader in the science of making hurricane season predictions. His research into the global climate factors that control seasonal hurricane activity helped NOAA launch its first seasonal Atlantic hurricane outlook in 1998. Since then, he’s been the lead scientist on the team that predicts Atlantic hurricane seasons and lead author of the annual hurricane outlook.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center provides hurricane seasonal outlooks before the season begins to give a general idea of how active the season might be, based on global climate patterns in place that either fuel or hinder the development of tropical storms and hurricanes. The outlook is probabilistic, which means it predicts the likely range of how many storms will develop and become hurricanes.
During hurricane season, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami monitors the tropics and provides forecasts and warnings for specific tropical storms and hurricanes, including the storm’s track, intensity, and possible landfall locations.